CHALLENGE
THE PREMISE

Newsmakers

ARCHIVE - JUNE 2016

Issues, News & Views

Who will be the
2016 candidates
for President of
the United States?


Republicans


DONALD TRUMP??

Donald Trump has come out
of nowhere and stolen the
show. He seems to have
captured the zeitgeist, the
spirit of the times. Can it last?



Who, from among this
strong, diverse field , will
emerge victorious to return
the GOP to the White
House?

COMPETITORS
With the inept Obama
Administration in its final
days, one would have
expected that experienced
governors with a record
of accomplishment would
dominate the Race 2 Replace
but outsiders and novices
Trump, Carson and Fiorina
are in the hunt! Seasoned
executives for sure, but
not the ones the beltway
had in mind!


Democrats


BERNIE SANDERS??

The creaky, rusty Clinton
machine grinds slowly
onward, wayward, relying
solely on muscle memory
for movement. Will
Democrats suddenly rise
from their slumber to the
realization she cannot win a
General Election?



Is Hillary a foregone
conclusion, or will
someone else swoop in and
steal the show?


COMPETITORS
Folks on the right can barely
contain their joy at the
prospect of a Clinton
candidacy. Shouldn't that
give pause to the Democrats?
Biden and Warren are both
better candidates and better
Democrats than Clinton, but
aren't even in the race. And
then there are O'Malley and
Sanders, again, both better
Democrats and better
candidates. Yet the Dems
seem intent on following
Clinton in a lemming-like
charge over the cliff.

WHAT SHOULD TED DO?

2016/06/23 - The 2016 Republican Presidential primary was fought hard, which is good, but at times it went too far, it got very nasty and personal. Donald probably deserves an outsized share of the blame for the negative tone. There's a reason candidates usually don't adopt a scorched-earth policy - you have to live off the land after the battle, which is not a pleasant place to be in right after you've nuked it.

So that's where Trump finds himself - trying to go back and cross burned bridges, seeking support amongst the vanquished, amongst the defeated and demoralized, the irredeemable, the irrecoverable.

One of the bridges Trump burned was the one leading to Ted Cruz and his supporters. There is plenty for a prototypical Cruz supporter to not like about Donald Trump, whether it's the man, his policies, or his tactics. But Cruz also bears the seething fury of a man whose wife and children were attacked by Trump, the modern equivalent of raped, looted, pillaged and your castle burned down.

So how does Trump go back?

But this is about Cruz - what should Ted do? There can't be any doubt that his ambitions are nowhere near exhausted, perhaps even now burning with a hotter passion as he seeks revenge. But how does he exact that revenge?

They say revenge is like white wine, it's always best served cold. There are blunt brutal ways to get revenge in a rage of passion, essentially reacting to the promptings of the adversary. Effectively being played, leading to lose-lose outcomes at best. And then there are clever, more subtle forms of revenge. Not taking the bait and taking oneself down in the process. Patience. Better strategies that result in decisive win-lose outcomes, leading to the conquest of the adversary.

What should Ted do? Here's our advice to Ted:

First, recognize that this is Donald's hour. For better or worse, love it or hate it. Save the vindictiveness for another day, a better occasion. Fight off the urge for vengeance.

Next, stay true to principles. Exercise patience, but still follow your long-term aspirations. Keep your eyes on the prize. The short route to the White House is no longer open, but do not get distracted by what at times can be the side show known as Donald Trump. It took Reagan a couple of tries to win the nomination.

Third, be a team player. Trump made the mistake of making too many enemies, including you. Why can't you see that you have been no different, making too many enemies? You need to do a better job of threading the needle, recognizing that you are on the Republicans team. You may not like your teammates but you still have to work with them in order to win. And winning is important!

Stay in the race, stay relevant, come out in strong support of Trump's campaign. The campaign, not the man. Separate the man from the campaign. Hate Trump the man if you must, but support the Republican campaign. Think in terms of campaigns, personalizing it is a sellout to the conservative movement.

In your speech at the convention discuss the quaint naïveté of the Socialist Sanders campaign, and the smarm of the Corrupt Clinton campaign; contrast those with the proven All-American values of the Cruz campaign, and how those values are being embodied and integrated in the Trump campaign. Beseech your supporters to work hard to get Trump elected. Say at least one genuinely nice thing about Trump. Just try.

Campaign for victory. Go to swing states, play peacemaker, rally the vote, get conservatives out to vote, get the country club out to vote. Show you can be the bridge-builder that Reagan was and Trump isn't. Campaign so hard for a Republican presidential victory that it almost vaguely seems like you're the candidate. But don't make it about yourself. Ever. Do not make it look like you are actually usurping the role. Not close, not even once.

Stay in the Senate. Don't join the cabinet. Don't go to the Supreme Court. We need you in the Senate. Be a leader in the fight for conservative principles. Fight Majority Leader McConnell, fight President Trump. Call out cronyism, expansion of government, violations of the Constitution. Be an advocate for free market economics. Don't pick useless fights; instead, make a few friends, gain a few allies - that would be a Reagan thing to do.

Keep asking yourself whether this is about Ted Cruz, or the conservative movement. A personal Ted Cruz vendetta against Donald Trump, no matter how warranted, impedes the conservative movement. Don't take us down. Maybe somewhere down the road you'll get your chance, without the collateral judgement. Not here, not now.

Finally, sorry about the insults to you wife and kids, but that's not unique and unprecedented in politics. Nobody cares if your itty-bitty feelings were hurt, any more than you care about ours. They're just battlefield casualties in the war of ideas.

A Trump Administration will be far less worse for America than a Clinton Administration would be. Show us that the Cruz campaign is not about Ted Cruz, but rather, it was, is, and will continue to be about America-first conservative principles.




Analysis


June 24, 2016 - Shocker! Britain votes for Exit!

In a stunning contradiction of the polls leading up to the referendum, the British have voted to leave the European Union by 52-48.

Chalprem has never been entirely convinced that EU membership - and subservience to Germany - is such an obvious no-brainer.

Brussels has erected a multitude of new offices and sent hither swarms of officers to harass the people and eat out their substance. Now the people of the UK have decided to give those bureaucrats the boot, much as the people of the US did 240 years ago.

Surrendering sovereignty and identity in exchange for another layer of bureaucracy? The result is the structural stagnation Europe finds itself trapped in.

There is a lot of upside to independence, as the US has shown. The doomsayers are quite a ways ahead of themselves, wethinks.

It will be interesting to see if and how this wave of anti-establishment populism spreads to other EU member states.




June 23, 2016 - The mischievous and irresponsible Baltimore Prosecutor Marilyn Mosby has failed again!

Judge Barry Williams has ruled Baltimore Officer Caesar Goodson not guilty in last year's death of Freddie Gray.

Gray's death, coupled with the pathetic response by the mayor and the despicable posturing by the prosecutor, triggered violent unrest, the destruction of property, and the worst month of homicides the city has experienced in forty years.

One of Chalprem's pet peeves is the use of public office for personal gain. Witness, for example, Hillary Clinton's use of her Cabinet position to attract donations to the charity (read "racket") Clinton Global Initiative which directs the laundered money to the personal accounts of the Clintons and their sycophants.

Mosby is another example of a so-called public servant using public office for personal gain. She is one of many insidious out-of-control prosecutors who use their office, indeed, abuse their office, as a stepping stone to higher office such as Governor, or a lucrative position at a top law firm, and don't seem to care whose lives they destroy in the process of achieving their personal ambitions.

With two not-guilty verdicts and one mistrial, Mosby is now a dismal 0/3 prosecuting officers in the Gray case, and deservedly so. At least in this one respect there is a glimmer of justice in this otherwise all-around very sad case.


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